Editor’s Note: After reading, make sure to join us in a fun pick-em game based on Jason’s Odds. The winner will receive a $100 Running Warehouse gift card and second place will receive a $25 Running Warehouse gift card. Read the rules and complete your entries either in the form at the bottom of this post, or at this link: https://forms.gle/fay7kySWYKSZN6Fe6
Betting odds are back! Let’s get the usual how to bet disclaimer out of the way and get to the odds!
For those unfamiliar with how betting odds work, you will see a lot of minuses and pluses. The minuses are the favorites, and the pluses are the underdogs. The bigger the minus is, the bigger the favorite and the less money you will win. The pluses of course, are the exact opposite.
That sentence was confusing, let’s do an example:
If the odds for a wager are -150, that means you would have to bet $150 to win $100. You would get back a total of $250 because you always get the winnings plus the money back from your wager when you win.
On the other side, if the odds are +130, for every $100 you bet you would win $130 and get back a total of $230.
Men’s Pole Vault
Mondo Duplantis World Record
| Record? | Jason’s Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | +400 |
| No | -500 |
Mondo has set the world record, indoors and outdoors three times this year, including most recently at the World Championships. The odds are always against a world record (unless you’re Sydney McLaughlin at a championship meeting) but do you really want to bet against Mondo? Really?
Men’s 200m
| Athlete | Jason’s Odds |
|---|---|
| Erriyon Knighton | -200 |
| Jareem Richards | +180 |
| Joseph Fahnbulleh | +250 |
| Reynier Mena | +500 |
| Field | +2000 |
Knighton would have been a bigger favorite in this race a week ago before finishing 6th in Lausanne. Still, he’s had a pretty good year. He ran 19.8 or better 5 times (including a 19.49), won a World Championships medal and, I’m assuming, had a great time at his senior prom.
Richards and Fahnbulleh could both win this race if Knighton isn’t at his best and Reynier Mena is someone I had definitely heard of before he ran his personal best by over four tenths with a 19.63 in July.
Men’s 400m hurdles
Will Alison Dos Santos break 47 seconds?
| Sub-47? | Jason’s Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | +120 |
| No | -140 |
Nothing against the rest of this field, but I don’t know how to count high enough to make odds to get you to bet against Alison Dos Santos. So instead of a matchup he gets an over/under time.
Now I know what you’re thinking, Dos Santos ran 46.29 at the World Championships, under 47 is easy money. But he’s only broken 47 twice this year and his last race he ran 47.8. So now I am going to put you in the position of betting against the guy who made 46.2 look easy, or for the guy who might still be celebrating his gold medal and can win without trying.
Women’s 100m
| Athlete | Jason’s Odds |
|---|---|
| Shelly-Ann Fraser-Pryce | -700 |
| Field | +550 |
This is actually a really good and deep field, three of these women have run 10.72 or better in the last two years, making them the 6th, 7th and 8th fastest women ever.
Shericka Jackson ran the second fastest 200m ever and has a 10.71 this year. That 100m time would be Shelly-Ann Fraser-Pryce’s 8th best time this year. EIGHTH BEST TIME THIS YEAR!! The GOAT is having her best year ever, enjoy it.
Women’s 100m Hurdles
| Athlete | Jason’s Odds |
|---|---|
| Jasmine Camacho-Quinn | -250 |
| Britany Anderson | +220 |
| Keni Harrison | +350 |
| Field | +1000 |
Camacho-Quinn has won 10 of 12 finals this year but one of the losses came at the World Championships where Anderson finished second to her third. Harrison is the most inconsistent of the group, but she’s done some of her best work in her career post championships.
Men’s 5k
| Athlete | Jason’s Odds |
|---|---|
| Jacob Krop | +250 |
| Oscar Chelimo | +300 |
| Yomif Kejelcha | +500 |
| Nicholas Kipkorir | +600 |
| Thierry Ndikumwenayo | +700 |
| Grant Fisher | +700 |
| Stewart McSweyn | +800 |
| Luis Grijalva | +800 |
| Field | +1200 |
Outside of the men’s 800m this is the hardest race to call and that’s not a fair comparison as roulette is more predictable than the men’s 800m. There is a lot of talent in this race though as 14 guys have run faster than 13:10 and 6 have gone sub 13:00.
Women’s 1500m
| Athlete | Jason’s Odds |
|---|---|
| Laura Muir | -200 |
| Diribe Welteji | +220 |
| Freweyni Hailu | +500 |
| Axumawit Embaye | +700 |
| Sinclaire Johnson | +800 |
| Heather Maclean | +800 |
| Jessica Hull | +1000 |
| Field | +1500 |
Laura Muir has to be the favorite but anytime there’s a 1500m field without Faith Kipyegon every other athlete can channel their inner Kevin Garnett and believe, ANYTHING IS POSSIBLE!!!
Men’s 800m
| Athlete | Jason’s Odds |
|---|---|
| Emmanuel Korir | +350 |
| Marco Arop | +400 |
| Djamel Sedjati | +400 |
| Jake Wightman | +450 |
| Mariano Garcia | +600 |
| Wycliffe Kinyamal | +600 |
| Benjamin Robert | +700 |
| Collins Kipruto | +800 |
| Gabriel Tual | +1000 |
| Field | +1500 |
What am I supposed to do with this race? Have you watched the 800m this year? All three 800m medalists are here along with the gold medalist in the 1500m so I think they deserve to be the favorites but do you feel good about picking any of them to win this race? Five of these guys have run 1:43 this year but there’s just as good a chance of this race being won in 1:46. If you think picking a winner of this race is hard, try setting the odds for it.
HAPPY GAMBLING!
The event is now underway! We are no longer accepting entrants to the game as the men’s 100 meter heats have taken place. Enjoy the Brussels Diamond League!
